Aurel Nazmiu21 Apr 20261m read

📉 𝗕𝗼𝘂𝗿𝗻𝗲𝗺𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗵 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗹𝗼𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗯𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝘃𝗮𝗹𝘂𝗲 𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗮𝗴𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝗶𝗻 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲.

📉 𝗕𝗼𝘂𝗿𝗻𝗲𝗺𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗵 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗹𝗼𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗯𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝘃𝗮𝗹𝘂𝗲 𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗮𝗴𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝗶𝗻 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲.


→ 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗻𝘂𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿: Iraola has delivered 𝟬.𝟮𝟮 𝗣𝗣𝗚 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 than Bournemouth's wage bill suggested they deserved - roughly 𝟴.𝟱 𝗽𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁𝘀 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝗮 𝗳𝘂𝗹𝗹 𝘀𝗲𝗮𝘀𝗼𝗻. For a club that size, that's not a rounding error. That's the gap between mid-table and a record points tally.

→ 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗲𝘅𝘁: He's among the 𝘁𝗼𝗽 𝟭𝟬 managers in the Premier League since 2019/20 on this measure. 𝟳𝘁𝗵 among Big 5 managers under the age of 45.

→ 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝗽𝗹𝗮𝗰𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁: Marco Rose - the reported frontrunner - sits comfortably above the line (+0.16) on the same model. Different league, different resources, but the same habit: more points than was expected given the wage bill.


💡 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗴𝗶𝗰 𝘁𝗮𝗸𝗲𝗮𝘄𝗮𝘆

Most clubs know exactly what they spend on players. Very few can tell you what their manager is actually worth relative to that spend. Bournemouth could - they tried to keep him. 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗯𝗹𝗲𝗺 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗵𝗶𝗿𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮𝗻 𝗲𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗲 𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗮𝗴𝗲𝗿 𝗼𝗻 𝗮 𝗕𝗼𝘂𝗿𝗻𝗲𝗺𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗵 𝗯𝘂𝗱𝗴𝗲𝘁 𝗶𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘂𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘆, 𝘀𝗼𝗺𝗲𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝗲𝗹𝘀𝗲 𝗻𝗼𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗲𝘀.